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Naugur is a global prediction market platform for trading real-world outcomes across sports, politics, finance, and culture. Market prices reflect probability estimates derived from market activity and external event data. Trading involves risk. Jurisdictional restrictions apply. See our Terms of Service, Privacy Policy, and Risk Disclosure.

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Politics

Election, appointment, and legislation markets, resolved manually against the named news sources on each market page. Browse by sub-category below.

ElectionsAppointmentsLegislationPolls & approval20Treaties & diplomacyOther

Polls & approval

20 markets
View all

Approval ratings, polling-share predictions, electoral-college maps.

Will Elon Musk post 400+ times on X the week of July 27, August 2, 2026?
Will Elon Musk post 400+ times on X the week of July 27, August 2, 2026?
pollsusrace:elon-tweets-2026-07-27social-media
YES
0.5¢
Volume
$2,836
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 times on X the week of July 27, August 2, 2026?
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 times on X the week of July 27, August 2, 2026?
pollsusrace:elon-tweets-2026-07-27social-media
YES
0.5¢
Volume
$2,836
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 times on X the week of July 27, August 2, 2026?
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 times on X the week of July 27, August 2, 2026?
pollsusrace:elon-tweets-2026-07-27social-media
YES
0.5¢
Volume
$2,836
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 times on X the week of July 27, August 2, 2026?
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 times on X the week of July 27, August 2, 2026?
pollsusrace:elon-tweets-2026-07-27social-media
YES
0.5¢
Volume
$2,836