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Naugur is a global prediction market platform for trading real-world outcomes across sports, politics, finance, and culture. Market prices reflect probability estimates derived from market activity and external event data. Trading involves risk. Jurisdictional restrictions apply. See our Terms of Service, Privacy Policy, and Risk Disclosure.

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Political markets
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Politics

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Elections

191 markets
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Presidential, midterm, parliamentary, and primary race outcomes.

Will Anca Dragu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Will Anca Dragu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
electionsrace:pm-global-next-prime-minister-of-romania-732polymarketpm-event:452161
YES
50¢
Volume
$200
Will Yabloko win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Will Yabloko win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
electionsrace:pm-global-russia-parliamentary-election-winnerpolymarketpm-event:149565
YES
50¢
Volume
$200
Will Civic Platform (GP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Will Civic Platform (GP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
electionsrace:pm-global-russia-parliamentary-election-winnerpolymarketpm-event:149565
YES
50¢
Volume
$200
Will Rodina win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Will Rodina win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
electionsrace:pm-global-russia-parliamentary-election-winnerpolymarketpm-event:149565
YES
50¢
Volume
$200

Polls & approval

9 markets
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Approval ratings, polling-share predictions, electoral-college maps.

Will Donald Trump post 200+ times on Truth Social the week of September 21, September 27, 2026?
Will Donald Trump post 200+ times on Truth Social the week of September 21, September 27, 2026?
pollsusrace:trump-truths-2026-09-21social-media
YES
0.5¢
Volume
$22.1K
Will Donald Trump post 150-199 times on Truth Social the week of September 21, September 27, 2026?
Will Donald Trump post 150-199 times on Truth Social the week of September 21, September 27, 2026?
pollsusrace:trump-truths-2026-09-21social-media
YES
0.9¢
Volume
$16.9K
Will Donald Trump post 100-149 times on Truth Social the week of September 21, September 27, 2026?
Will Donald Trump post 100-149 times on Truth Social the week of September 21, September 27, 2026?
pollsusrace:trump-truths-2026-09-21social-media
YES
14.7¢
Volume
$4,408
Will Donald Trump post 50-99 times on Truth Social the week of September 21, September 27, 2026?
Will Donald Trump post 50-99 times on Truth Social the week of September 21, September 27, 2026?
pollsusrace:trump-truths-2026-09-21social-media
YES
48.8¢
Volume
$3,121