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Predict what you know. Profit from what happens. A prediction-market platform for sports, crypto, and politics, settled on Polygon.

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Naugur is a global prediction market platform for trading real-world outcomes across sports, politics, finance, and culture. Market prices reflect probability estimates derived from market activity and external event data. Trading involves risk. Jurisdictional restrictions apply. See our Terms of Service, Privacy Policy, and Risk Disclosure.

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Mars missions, AI breakthroughs, elections, game-day finishes, the future is a market. Price tomorrow before it arrives, and profit from what you see coming.

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Sports
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🤖
Will OpenAI release GPT-6 by the end of 2026?
Dec 31
50%
Yes · chance
Buy Yes50.0%Buy No50.0%
$2,000 Pot · $0 Vol
₿
Will Bitcoin fall below $50,000 in 2026?
Dec 31
50%
Yes · chance
Buy Yes50.0%Buy No50.0%
$2,000 Pot · $0 Vol
₿
Will a spot Solana ETF be approved by the end of 2026?
Dec 31
50%
Yes · chance
Buy Yes50.0%Buy No50.0%
$2,000 Pot · $0 Vol
₿
Will Bitcoin reach a new all-time high in 2026?
Dec 31
50%
Yes · chance
Buy Yes50.0%Buy No50.0%
$2,000 Pot · $0 Vol
₿
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by the end of 2026?
Dec 31
50%
Yes · chance
Buy Yes50.0%Buy No50.0%
$2,000 Pot · $0 Vol
₿
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by the end of 2026?
Dec 31
50%
Yes · chance
Buy Yes50.0%Buy No50.0%
$2,000 Pot · $0 Vol
🤖
Will an AI model exceed 90% on the ARC-AGI benchmark by 2027?
Dec 31
50%
Yes · chance
Buy Yes50.0%Buy No50.0%
$2,000 Pot · $0 Vol
🏦
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US presidential election?
Nov 8
50%
Yes · chance
Buy Yes50.0%Buy No50.0%
$2 Pot · $0 Vol
🏦
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US presidential election?
Nov 8
50%
Yes · chance
Buy Yes50.0%Buy No50.0%
$2 Pot · $0 Vol
🏦
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US presidential election?
Nov 8
50%
Yes · chance
Buy Yes50.0%Buy No50.0%
$2 Pot · $0 Vol
🏦
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US presidential election?
Nov 8
50%
Yes · chance
Buy Yes50.0%Buy No50.0%
$2 Pot · $0 Vol
🤖
Will an AI pass a rigorous Turing test by 2028?
Dec 31
50%
Yes · chance
Buy Yes50.0%Buy No50.0%
$2,000 Pot · $0 Vol
🤖
Will a major AI lab claim AGI by 2030?
Dec 31
50%
Yes · chance
Buy Yes50.0%Buy No50.0%
$2,000 Pot · $0 Vol
🤖
Will AGI be achieved by 2030?
Dec 31
50%
Yes · chance
Buy Yes50.0%Buy No50.0%
$2,000 Pot · $0 Vol
◆
Will signs of past life on Mars be confirmed by 2030?
Dec 31
50%
Yes · chance
Buy Yes50.0%Buy No50.0%
$2,000 Pot · $0 Vol
◆
Will we confirm alien life by 2030?
Dec 31
50%
Yes · chance
Buy Yes50.0%Buy No50.0%
$2,000 Pot · $0 Vol
◆
Will SpaceX land Starship on Mars by 2030?
Dec 31
50%
Yes · chance
Buy Yes50.0%Buy No50.0%
$2,000 Pot · $0 Vol
◆
Will humans land on Mars by 2030?
Dec 31
50%
Yes · chance
Buy Yes50.0%Buy No50.0%
$2,000 Pot · $0 Vol
◆
Will a biosignature on an exoplanet be confirmed by 2032?
Dec 31
50%
Yes · chance
Buy Yes50.0%Buy No50.0%
$2,000 Pot · $0 Vol
◆
Will NASA's Perseverance rover return Mars samples to Earth by 2033?
Dec 31
50%
Yes · chance
Buy Yes50.0%Buy No50.0%
$2,000 Pot · $0 Vol
◆
Will a crewed mission to Mars launch by 2033?
Dec 31
50%
Yes · chance
Buy Yes50.0%Buy No50.0%
$2,000 Pot · $0 Vol
◆
Will SETI detect a confirmed alien signal by 2035?
Dec 31
50%
Yes · chance
Buy Yes50.0%Buy No50.0%
$2,000 Pot · $0 Vol
◆
Will signs of life be found on Europa by 2035?
Dec 31
50%
Yes · chance
Buy Yes50.0%Buy No50.0%
$2,000 Pot · $0 Vol
◆
Will humans land on Mars by 2035?
Dec 31
50%
Yes · chance
Buy Yes50.0%Buy No50.0%
$2,000 Pot · $0 Vol
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